1: Questions

  • “Our deepest hope as humans lies in technology; but our deepest trust lies in nature.”
  • Combinatorial evolution – technologies come into being as fresh combinations of what already exists
  • A similar idea had been arose as early as 1910 in the context of the economy – Schumpeter proposed (going against equilibrium economics) that an economy could generate growth without any external influence, by coming up with new combinations of existing resources

2: Combination and Structure

  • Three definitions of technology:
    • A means to fulfil a human purpose
    • As assemblage of practices and components
    • The entire collection of devices and engineering practices available to a culture
  • A technology is an executable
  • A technology provides functionality
  • Technologies are structured recursively – each technology consists of sub-technologies which in turn consist of sub-sub-technologies (and so on)

3: Phenomena

  • “Phenomena are the indispensable source from which all technologies arise”
  • In order to attain certain principles, humans orchestrate different phenomena
  • Most technologies are created from building-block components that are several steps removed from any direct harnessing of an effect

4: Domains, or Worlds Entered for What Can Be Accomplished There

  • Domains form languages
  • New technological artefacts constructed from components of a domain are utterances in that domain’s language
  • The points at which domains interact with each other tend to be expensive, e.g. photonics to electronics and back again, loading and unloading freight ships

5: Engineering and Its Solutions

  • Engineering is as creative as any other profession, it’s just that the results aren’t always visible/obvious (in the same way that art is)
  • “Memes, as Dawkins originally conceived of them, are units of cultural expression such as beliefs, or catchphrases, or clothing fashions”
  • Successful engineering solutions behave like memes in the sense that they are copied and replicated and propagate throughout society in different technologies

6: The Origin of Technologies

  • Imagine a chain connecting an exploitable effect(s) and a problem to be solved – the links of this chain are the systems and assemblies that make the solution possible
  • Creating these links (and sub-links) is invention
  • Technologies can arise via two general journeys:
    • A need for something uncovering a phenomenon
    • A discovered phenomenon being harnessed to create a technology
  • Origination in technology is not fundamentally different from science or technology because all three are purposed systems:
    • Tech: conceptual methods
    • Science: explanatory structures
    • Mathematics: truth structures consistent with basic axioms

7: Structural Deepening

  • The Darwinian nature of technology is apparent not so much in the market’s selection of superior products but by a technology’s selection of sub-technologies to solve its internal design problems
  • Structural deepening is the process by which a technology becomes more and more complex as its sub-technologies are enhanced to optimise phenomena and additional sub-technologies and assemblies are added to mitigate for physical (or other) deficiencies of components
  • Adaptive stretch is the extension of a technology beyond its intended purpose rather than using a new technology due to the perceived cost of moving to the new technology (lock in)
  • Kuhn’s cycle of of scientific paradigms is allocable to the development of technologies:
    • Structural deepening
    • Lock in
    • Adaptive stretch
    • (And repeat until a new, “simpler” technology/paradigm appears as a feasible replacement)

8: Revolutions and Redomainings

  • ”The economy does not adopt a new body of technology, it encounters it”

9: The Mechanisms of Evolution

  • Technology in its entirety is autopoietic (self-generating)
  • The possible combinations of technologies increases exponentially as the number of different technologies increases
  • There isn’t always demand for new technologies but there are opportunity niches that technologies can fill by coming into existence
  • When a technology is replaced there is an avalanche of destruction – its sub-technologies are no longer needed (and so on)
  • Likewise when a new technology appears there are winds of opportunity creation (from Schumpeter’s “gales of creative destruction”)
  • In biology variation and selection are the norm for evolution, combination is much rarer due to a Darwinian bottleneck
  • Three things drive the creation of novel technologies:
    • New capturing of natural phenomena
    • Fresh combinations of existing technologies
    • Needs in the economy/opportunity niches

10: The Economy Evolving as its Technologies Evolve

  • The economy is “the set of arrangements and activities by which a society satisfies its needs”
  • The economy is not a container for technologies, the economy is formed by technologies – the economy is an expression of its technologies
  • In the short term the economy appears fixed (a container of its technologies) but in the long term the economy is seen to be a product of its technologies
  • Schumpeter refers to the process by which an economy that may appear to be in stasis undergoes change from within by finding novel combinations as industrial mutation
  • Structural change occurs is measured in decades
  • A fourth driver of new technologies: problems beget solutions which beget further problems (and so on), e.g. burning carbon-based fuels

11: Where Do We Stand With This Creation of Ours?

  • The vocabulary we use to describe the behaviour of technologies is starting to include biological words, e.g. self-healing, ergo technology is becoming more like biology
  • Companies are now drawing their competitive advantage from their ownership of technical expertise, rather than resources
  • We are seeing many (some fleeting) alliances between companies with mutually beneficial expertise (when it isn’t feasible for companies to develop the necessary expertise in-house) – this often takes the form of an acquisition